April 20, 2026

Farmers more optimistic about ag economy in March

Ag Economy Barometer

Michael Langemeier

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. — Farmer sentiment about the ag economy improved in March despite rising input cost concerns, according to the Purdue University/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer.

The barometer’s reading jumped from 116 to 127 from February to March. Farmers were notably more optimistic about future expectations.

“While producers are feeling more optimistic about the future, there’s still a noticeable gap between short-term challenges and long-term confidence,” said Michael Langemeier, the barometer’s principal investigator and director of Purdue’s Center for Commercial Agriculture.

“Longer-term optimism is supported by stronger expectations for farmland values and the broader economy, though livestock producers remain notably more optimistic than crop producers.”

Farmer sentiment improved in March as the Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer Index rose from 116 points in February to 127.

Report highlights:

• 18% of farmers indicated their operations were better off than a year ago.

• The Farm Capital Investment Index edged up three points to 53, but plans to expand machinery purchases remain limited, with only 4% of producers planning increases.

• Around 39% of respondents stated that they expect inflation for consumers to exceed 3%.

• When asked whether the U.S. prime interest rate would be lower, about the same or higher 12 months from now, 34% of producers anticipate lower interest rates, while 16% said they expect rates to be higher.

• 12% of producers reported discussing a solar lease within the past six months.

• Both short-term and long-term farmland value expectations strengthened slightly in March.

• Optimism about the direction of the U.S. economy improved in March, with 65% of producers indicating the country is headed in the “right direction,” compared to 59% in February.

Read the full report at purdue.edu/agbarometer.

Erica Quinlan

Erica Quinlan

Field Editor